What will be United Airlines' adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) in 2025?

Started Apr 25, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

In April 2025, United took the unusual move to give two sets of guidance for its EPS in 2025: $11.50 to $13.50 in a "stable environment" and $7.00 to $9.00 in a "recessionary environment," highlighting the levels of economic uncertainty at the beginning of the second quarter of the year (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters], United - Investor Update 15 April 2025). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using full-year earnings data once released in 2026 (United - Earnings Releases). For 2024, United reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share of $10.61 (United - Earnings Release Q4 2024). United's fiscal year mirrors the calendar year.

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The question closed "More than $9.00, but less than $11.50" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $7.00 3%
Between $7.00 and $9.00, inclusive 7%
More than $9.00, but less than $11.50 57%
Between $11.50 and $13.50, inclusive 22%
More than $13.50 11%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 12
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 42
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.060031
2.
-0.049517
3.
-0.032392
4.
-0.031456
5.
-0.019431

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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