What will be United Airlines' adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) in 2025?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
In April 2025, United took the unusual move to give two sets of guidance for its EPS in 2025: $11.50 to $13.50 in a "stable environment" and $7.00 to $9.00 in a "recessionary environment," highlighting the levels of economic uncertainty at the beginning of the second quarter of the year (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters], United - Investor Update 15 April 2025). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using full-year earnings data once released in 2026 (United - Earnings Releases). For 2024, United reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share of $10.61 (United - Earnings Release Q4 2024). United's fiscal year mirrors the calendar year.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "More than $9.00, but less than $11.50" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $7.00 | 3% | |
| Between $7.00 and $9.00, inclusive | 7% | |
| More than $9.00, but less than $11.50 | 57% | |
| Between $11.50 and $13.50, inclusive | 22% | |
| More than $13.50 | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 12 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 42 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |