Will Mahmoud Abbas cease to be Chairman of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) before 1 January 2026?
Started
May 02, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
As regional leaders look forward to postwar Gaza, the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) named its first vice-president in late April 2025, signaling potential plans for political transition in Palestinian institutions (France 24, AP, Al Jazeera, Council on Foreign Relations).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | |
| No | 93% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 47 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 146 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
