When will an application be filed with Germany's Federal Constitutional Court to declare Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, or AfD) unconstitutional?
Started
May 05, 2025 02:30PM UTC
Closing May 05, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing May 05, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
A decision by Germany's domestic intelligence agency to classify AfD as a right-wing extremist organization has reignited debate in the country over whether to ban the party (CNN, Deutsche Welle, Politico). AfD came in second place in the February 2025 German federal election (BBC). Three entities (the Bundestag, the Bundesrat, and the Federal Government) can file such an application (German Federal Constitutional Court [in German]).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 3 September 2025 | 15.40% | +1.00% | +6.50% |
| Between 3 September 2025 and 2 January 2026 | 13.10% | 0% | +1.50% |
| Between 3 January 2026 and 4 May 2026 | 6.60% | 0% | +0.50% |
| Not before 5 May 2026 | 64.90% | -1.00% | -8.50% |