How many total vehicles will Tesla deliver in 2025?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
After missing expectations in the first quarter of 2025, Tesla is boosting its offerings to consumers (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters], Teslarati). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using Tesla's "Production & Delivery" press release for the fourth quarter of 2025 (Tesla - Quarterly Results). In 2024, Tesla delivered a total of 1,789,226 vehicles (Tesla - Q4 2024 Production & Deliveries).
This question is the shorter-term companion question of #4289. This question will be scored.
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The question closed "Fewer than 1,640,000" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1,640,000 | 60% | |
| At least 1,640,000, but fewer than 1,720,000 | 27% | |
| At least 1,720,000, but fewer than 1,800,000 | 6% | |
| At least 1,800,000, but fewer than 1,880,000 | 0% | |
| At least 1,880,000, but fewer than 1,960,000 | 0% | |
| At least 1,960,000, but fewer than 2,040,000 | 6% | |
| 2,040,000 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 37 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 200 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 462 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
