How many total vehicles will Tesla deliver in 2027?
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
After missing expectations in the first quarter of 2025, Tesla is boosting its offerings to consumers (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters], Teslarati). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using Tesla's "Production & Delivery" press release for the fourth quarter of 2025 (Tesla - Quarterly Results). In 2024, Tesla delivered a total of 1,789,226 vehicles (Tesla - Q4 2024 Production & Deliveries).
This question is the longer-term companion question of #4288. While your forecasts and comments will be reviewed in the future, they will not be scored.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1,800,000 | 50.80% | 0% | +0.50% | +3.05% |
| At least 1,800,000, but fewer than 2,000,000 | 26.10% | 0% | +1.70% | +5.10% |
| At least 2,000,000, but fewer than 2,200,000 | 11.30% | 0% | -0.10% | -2.70% |
| At least 2,200,000, but fewer than 2,400,000 | 3.50% | 0% | -1.60% | -1.25% |
| At least 2,400,000, but fewer than 2,600,000 | 2.60% | 0% | -0.50% | +0.10% |
| At least 2,600,000, but fewer than 2,800,000 | 2.10% | 0% | -0.10% | -0.15% |
| At least 2,800,000, but fewer than 3,000,000 | 1.50% | 0% | -0.20% | -0.50% |
| At least 3,000,000, but fewer than 3,200,000 | 0.70% | 0% | 0% | -1.30% |
| 3,200,000 or more | 1.40% | 0% | +0.30% | -2.35% |