How many new electric vehicles (EVs) will be sold in the US in 2027, according to Kelley Blue Book?

Started May 13, 2025 01:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

EV sales in the US grew again in 2024, but higher financing costs and tax subsidy skepticism in the new Trump administration may blunt further expansion (Clean Technica, AP). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Kelley Blue Book (KBB), a subsidiary of Cox Automotive, expected in January 2026. On 13 January 2025, KBB reported that 1,301,411 EVs were sold in the US in 2024 (KBB - Q4 2024 Electric Vehicle Sales Report).

This question is the longer-term companion question of #4292. While your forecasts and comments will be reviewed in the future, they will not be scored.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 1,000,000 11.60% 0% -1.30% -3.15%
At least 1,000,000, but fewer than 1,250,000 10.50% 0% -1.50% +0.75%
At least 1,250,000, but fewer than 1,500,000 14.80% -0.60% -3.20% -6.95%
At least 1,500,000, but fewer than 1,750,000 34.00% +0.50% +9.00% +8.50%
At least 1,750,000, but fewer than 2,000,000 18.20% +0.10% -0.80% +9.95%
At least 2,000,000, but fewer than 2,250,000 6.60% 0% -0.70% +0.10%
At least 2,250,000, but fewer than 2,500,000 2.20% 0% -0.50% -4.55%
At least 2,500,000, but fewer than 2,750,000 1.20% 0% -0.30% -2.55%
At least 2,750,000, but fewer than 3,000,000 0.60% 0% -0.10% -0.90%
3,000,000 or more 0.30% 0% -0.60% -1.20%

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