Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the San Francisco, California, office vacancy rate be under 35.0% for the third quarter of 2025, according to Cushman & Wakefield?
Closed Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
San Francisco has been battling rising office vacancy rates in recent years (San Francisco Standard). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2025 and the outcome determined using data reported by Cushman & Wakefield for the third quarter of 2025, expected in the fourth quarter of 2025 (Cushman & Wakefield). For the first quarter of 2025, Cushman & Wakefield reported an overall vacancy rate of 34.7%, up from 33.0% in the first quarter of 2024 (Cushman & Wakefield - Marketbeat San Francisco Office Q1 2025).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39% | |
| No | 61% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 23 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 43 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
