For how many weeks between 8 June 2025 and 30 November 2025 will Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson's "Original Sin" be on the New York Times Best Sellers list for Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction?
Closed Nov 19, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Journalists Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson's book on the putative cover-up of President Biden's mental decline in the White House was published on 20 May 2025 and debuted at #1 on the New York Times Best Sellers list (Penguin Random House - Original Sin, NY Times ). The question will be suspended on 19 November 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using the New York Times' Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction Best Sellers list (NY Times - Best Sellers Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction). Any weekly list dated between and including 8 June 2025 and 30 November 2025 will count, and the lists are usually released two Wednesdays preceding the date of the list (e.g., the list for 8 June 2025 was released on 28 May 2025).
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The question closed "Between 4 and 8" with a closing date of 19 November 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 4 | 0% | |
| Between 4 and 8 | 98% | |
| Between 9 and 13 | 1% | |
| Between 14 and 18 | 0% | |
| Between 19 and 23 | 0% | |
| 24 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 25 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 66 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
