For how many weeks between 8 June 2025 and 30 November 2025 will Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson's "Original Sin" be on the New York Times Best Sellers list for Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction?
Closing Nov 19, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Journalists Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson's book on the putative cover-up of President Biden's mental decline in the White House was published on 20 May 2025 and debuted at #1 on the New York Times Best Sellers list (Penguin Random House - Original Sin, NY Times ). The question will be suspended on 19 November 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using the New York Times' Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction Best Sellers list (NY Times - Best Sellers Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction). Any weekly list dated between and including 8 June 2025 and 30 November 2025 will count, and the lists are usually released two Wednesdays preceding the date of the list (e.g., the list for 8 June 2025 was released on 28 May 2025).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 4 | 11.50% | 0% | 0% | +0.80% |
| Between 4 and 8 | 24.80% | +6.00% | +13.00% | +13.50% |
| Between 9 and 13 | 17.20% | -2.00% | -7.00% | -1.20% |
| Between 14 and 18 | 29.50% | -3.00% | -5.00% | -2.20% |
| Between 19 and 23 | 13.90% | -0.70% | -0.70% | -6.30% |
| 24 or more | 3.10% | -0.30% | -0.30% | -4.60% |