What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for November 2025?
Started
May 30, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The US unemployment rate has remained near historic lows in early 2025 (CNBC). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2025 and the outcome determined using the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS') official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database when first released (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the unemployment rate for November 2024 was reported as 4.2%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.9% | 3.90% | 0% | +0.60% | +0.60% |
| At least 3.9%, but less than 4.2% | 14.70% | +2.00% | +4.70% | +1.30% |
| At least 4.2%, but less than 4.5% | 40.30% | -1.00% | -1.90% | -2.60% |
| At least 4.5%, but less than 4.8% | 33.00% | -1.00% | -2.90% | +5.40% |
| At least 4.8%, but less than 5.1% | 4.90% | 0% | -0.50% | -4.70% |
| At least 5.1%, but less than 5.4% | 1.60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 5.4%, but less than 5.7% | 0.80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 5.7% or more | 0.80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |