What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February 2026?
Closing Mar 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
The inflation rate in the US has continued to trend down, but uncertainty surrounding US tariff policy has market observers concerned about a rebound (CBS News, USA Today, Investopedia - CPI). The question will be suspended on 28 February 2026 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for February 2026 when first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in March 2026 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the change for February 2025 was 2.81427%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up by less than 1.600% or down | 23.90% | 0% | -2.99% |
| Up by at least 1.600%, but less than 2.000% | 11.00% | 0% | +0.56% |
| Up by at least 2.000%, but less than 2.400% | 26.50% | 0% | +13.50% |
| Up by at least 2.400%, but less than 2.800% | 11.60% | 0% | +0.93% |
| Up by at least 2.800%, but less than 3.200% | 8.70% | 0% | +0.14% |
| Up by at least 3.200%, but less than 3.600% | 4.80% | 0% | -4.87% |
| Up by at least 3.600%, but less than 4.000% | 3.50% | 0% | -4.94% |
| Up by at least 4.000%, but less than 4.400% | 4.80% | 0% | -1.64% |
| Up by at least 4.400%, but less than 4.800% | 2.30% | 0% | -0.26% |
| Up by 4.800% or more | 2.90% | 0% | -0.43% |