What will be the Canadian civilian unemployment rate for December 2025?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
The unemployment rate in Canada reached 7.0% in May 2025, a nine-year high outside of the COVID pandemic (CBC, Statistics Canada - Methodology of the Canadian Labour Force Survey). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using "Unemployment rate" data as reported by Trading Economics when first released (Trading Economics). As of the launch of this question, the unemployment rate for December 2024 was reported as 6.7%. Additional data are available on Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada, see "Unemployment rate" [Seasonally adjusted]).
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The question closed "At least 6.6%, but less than 7.0%" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 5.8% | 1% | |
| At least 5.8%, but less than 6.2% | 3% | |
| At least 6.2%, but less than 6.6% | 15% | |
| At least 6.6%, but less than 7.0% | 19% | |
| At least 7.0%, but less than 7.4% | 36% | |
| At least 7.4%, but less than 7.8% | 15% | |
| At least 7.8%, but less than 8.2% | 6% | |
| At least 8.2%, but less than 8.6% | 4% | |
| 8.6% or more | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 10 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 31 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
