What will be the value of Drewry's World Container Index (WCI) on 11 December 2025?

Started Jun 20, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 11, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Uncertainty surrounding US tariff policy is impacting the global shipping industry (Yahoo [Reuters], Lloyd's List). The question will be suspended on 10 December 2025 and the outcome determined using the WCI index value for 11 December 2025 as reported by Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited (Drewry, Marine Insight). On 12 December 2024, the value of the WCI was $3,529.

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The question closed "At least $1,800, but less than $2,400" with a closing date of 11 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,200 1%
At least $1,200, but less than $1,800 16%
At least $1,800, but less than $2,400 78%
At least $2,400, but less than $3,000 2%
At least $3,000, but less than $3,600 1%
At least $3,600, but less than $4,200 1%
At least $4,200, but less than $4,800 1%
At least $4,800, but less than $5,500 1%
At least $5,500, but less than $6,300 1%
At least $6,300, but less than $7,200 1%
At least $7,200, but less than $8,200 1%
At least $8,200, but less than $9,300 1%
$9,300 or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 10
Average for questions older than 6 months: 159
Number of Forecasts 40
Average for questions older than 6 months: 472
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.034026
2.
-0.019447
3.
-0.007259
4.
-0.004748
5.
-0.00011

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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