Which of the following US stock market indices will perform best between 18 June 2025 and 31 December 2025?
Started
Jun 20, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2025 08:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 30 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance by dividing the closing values for 31 December 2025 by the closing values for 18 June 2025 and subtracting one, respectively.
- DJIA (Google Finance) [Closing value 18 June 2025: 42,171.66]
- NASDAQ Composite (Google Finance) [Closing value 18 June 2025: 19,546.27]
- Russell 2000 (Google Finance) [Closing value 18 June 2025: 2,112.96]
- S&P 500 (Google Finance) [Closing value 18 June 2025: 5,980.87]
In the event of a tie, the index that performed best through 30 December 2025 will be considered to have performed best, and further back from there.
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The question closed "NASDAQ Composite" with a closing date of 31 December 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) | 1% | |
| NASDAQ Composite | 62% | |
| Russell 2000 | 36% | |
| S&P 500 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 37 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 198 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
