Which of the following European stock exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will perform best between 25 June 2025 and 31 December 2025?
Started
Jun 27, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Stocks in Europe performed generally well in the first half of 2025 (Goldman Sachs, Morningstar). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance in the US by dividing the closing values for 31 December 2025 by the closing values for 25 June 2025 and subtracting one, respectively.
Austria (Google Finance) [Closing value 25 June 2025: $28.58]
Greece (Google Finance) [Closing value 25 June 2025: $58.42]
Poland (Google Finance) [Closing value 25 June 2025: $30.57]
Spain (Google Finance) [Closing value 25 June 2025: $43.09]
In the event of a tie, the index that performed best through 30 December 2025 will be considered to have performed best, and further back from there. In the event that an ETF splits before 1 January 2026, the price value for use in resolution will be adjusted accordingly (Investopedia - Stock Split).
The question closed "Ishares MSCI Spain ETF" with a closing date of 31 December 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Ishares MSCI Austria ETF | 10% | |
| Global X MSCI Greece ETF | 4% | |
| Ishares MSCI Poland ETF | 6% | |
| Ishares MSCI Spain ETF | 79% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 15 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 64 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
