At close of business on 6 November 2025, will the most recently announced Bank of England (BoE) "Bank Rate" be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 18 September 2025?

Started Jun 27, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, the interest paid to commercial banks that hold money with the BoE (Bank of England - Bank Rate). As of the launch of this question, the MPC's November 2025 monetary policy meeting announcement is scheduled for 6 November 2025, and its most recently announced Bank Rate was 4.25% (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Summary 19 June 2025, Bank of England - Monetary Policy Committee Calendar). If the BoE announces a range, the question will close using the midpoint of the stated range (e.g., an announced range of 2.00% and 2.25% would close based on 2.125%). The date the change will take effect is immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Same" with a closing date of 6 November 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 11%
Same 82%
Higher 8%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 20
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 81
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.254652
2.
-0.113667
3.
-0.061013
4.
-0.043678
5.
-0.017523

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username