When will early parliamentary elections be called in Serbia?

Started Jun 30, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 07, 2025 07:01AM UTC

While elections for both the president and parliament of Serbia are not due until 2027, protests for early elections have grown throughout the first half of 2025, with as many as 140,000 protesting in Belgrade on 28 June (BBC, CNN, France 24, Deutsche Welle). The President of Serbia is empowered to dissolve parliament (National Assembly) and simultaneously schedule new elections (Constitution of Serbia, see Article 109). The date set for new parliamentary elections is immaterial.

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The question closed "Not before 7 October 2025" with a closing date of 7 October 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 14 July 2025 1%
Between 14 July 2025 and 10 August 2025 0%
Between 11 August 2025 and 6 October 2025 2%
Not before 7 October 2025 97%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 33
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 77
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001193
2.
-0.000959
3.
-0.000931
4.
-0.000892
5.
-0.000826

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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