Will Wells Fargo banking executive Chenyue Mao leave China before 13 September 2025?

Started Jul 18, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 13, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Wells Fargo reportedly suspended travel to China after one of its executives, US citizen Chenyue Mao, was banned from leaving the country (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters]). The US State Department issued a travel advisory in November 2024 stating, among other things, that people should exercise "when traveling to Mainland China due to arbitrary enforcement of local laws, including in relation to exit bans" (US Department of State). For the purposes of this question, Hong Kong and Macau are considered to be parts of China.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 13 September 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1%
No 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 30
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 58
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.00207
2.
-0.00207
3.
-0.00207
4.
-0.001325
5.
-0.001061

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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