Will the 12-month percentage change in China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) be negative for December 2025?

Started Jul 18, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

Deflation (i.e., a decline in price levels) is a continuing concern in China, which reported for June 2025 its first positive change since January 2025 (CNBC, Yahoo [Bloomberg], Yahoo [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for December 2025 as first reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics). As of the launch of this question, China's annual CPI change in December 2024 was 0.1%.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 24%
No 76%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 53
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.307797
2.
-0.277951
3.
-0.159881
4.
-0.149384
5.
-0.136262

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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