Continuing claims (aka continued claims) for unemployment insurance are reported weekly by the Department of Labor and a useful measure of the health of the labor market (Investopedia - Continuing Claims). The outcome will be determined using Department of Labor data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database and based on the date of reporting, typically Thursdays for the week ending the previous Saturday (FRED). The report to be released the week of 22 December 2025 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday 24 December 2025 due to the Christmas holiday (Department of Labor). Subsequent revisions will be immaterial (e.g., if a week is reported at 2 million but is subsequently revised to 1.99 million, that date would count as reaching or exceeding two million).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "Not before 25 December 2025" with a closing date of 18 December 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.