When will the US next report continued unemployment claims reaching or exceeding two million for two consecutive weeks?
Closing Dec 24, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Continuing claims (aka continued claims) for unemployment insurance are reported weekly by the Department of Labor and a useful measure of the health of the labor market (Investopedia - Continuing Claims). The outcome will be determined using Department of Labor data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database and based on the date of reporting, typically Thursdays for the week ending the previous Saturday (FRED). The report to be released the week of 22 December 2025 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday 24 December 2025 due to the Christmas holiday (Department of Labor). Subsequent revisions will be immaterial (e.g., if a week is reported at 2 million but is subsequently revised to 1.99 million, that date would count as reaching or exceeding two million).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 11 September 2025 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.90% |
| Between 11 September 2025 and 15 October 2025 | 0% | 0% | 0% | -2.10% |
| Between 16 October 2025 and 19 November 2025 | 0.60% | 0% | -1.60% | -6.00% |
| Between 20 November 2025 and 24 December 2025 | 7.70% | -1.40% | -3.00% | -7.40% |
| Not before 25 December 2025 | 91.70% | +1.40% | +4.60% | +16.40% |