At close of business on 18 December 2025, will the most recently announced Bank of England (BoE) "Bank Rate" be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 6 November 2025?

Started Aug 08, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 18, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, the interest paid to commercial banks that hold money with the BoE (Bank of England - Bank Rate). As of the launch of this question, the MPC's December 2025 monetary policy meeting announcement is scheduled for 18 December 2025, and its most recently announced Bank Rate was 4.00% (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Summary 7 August 2025 (7 August 2025), Bank of England - Monetary Policy Committee Calendar). If the BoE announces a range, the question will close using the midpoint of the stated range (e.g., an announced range of 2.00% and 2.25% would close based on 2.125%). The date the change will take effect is immaterial.

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The question closed "Lower" with a closing date of 18 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 92%
Same 8%
Higher 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 19
Average for questions older than 6 months: 156
Number of Forecasts 104
Average for questions older than 6 months: 462
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.659143
2.
-0.294514
3.
-0.283653
4.
-0.189614
5.
-0.161855

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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