Zan-Ozimek asks:
How will the Republican Party perform in the 2026 US Senate elections?
Closing Nov 03, 2026 08:01AM UTC
As of 22 August 2025, 35 seats in the US Senate were up for election in 2026, 22 of which are held by Republicans (270 to Win). Elections are scheduled for 3 November 2026 (Ballotpedia). If the number of Senate seats won by Republicans is dependent upon a runoff election, the suspend date will be extended to the date of the latest relevant runoff. If the number of Senate seats won by Republicans is dependent upon a recount or an independent needing to make his or her caucus affiliation known, the question will remain suspended and closed as of 3 November 2026 when the outcome is known. The number of seats held by Republicans for those seats not up for election in November 2026 will be assessed as of 3 November 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans will lose their majority (win or hold 49 seats or fewer) | 23.86% | +0.24% | +0.86% | +7.44% |
| Republicans will have half the seats (win or hold 50 seats) | 22.67% | +0.24% | +2.67% | +5.67% |
| Republicans will decrease their majority (win or hold 51 or 52 seats) | 39.48% | -0.23% | +0.48% | -0.89% |
| Republicans will maintain their current majority (win or hold 53 seats) | 11.05% | -0.24% | +0.05% | -4.58% |
| Republicans will increase their majority (win or hold 54 seats or more) | 2.95% | 0% | -4.05% | -7.63% |