What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2025?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
The inflation rate in the US has remained elevated in 2025 as the impacts of tariffs and potential interest rate cuts work their way through the economy (CNBC, CNN, Investopedia - CPI). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for December 2025 when first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in January 2026 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the change for December 2024 was 2.87237%.
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The question closed "At least 2.400%, but less than 2.800%" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.600% | 0% | |
| At least 1.600%, but less than 2.000% | 0% | |
| At least 2.000%, but less than 2.400% | 2% | |
| At least 2.400%, but less than 2.800% | 45% | |
| At least 2.800%, but less than 3.200% | 47% | |
| At least 3.200%, but less than 3.600% | 6% | |
| At least 3.600%, but less than 4.000% | 0% | |
| At least 4.000%, but less than 4.400% | 0% | |
| At least 4.400%, but less than 4.800% | 0% | |
| 4.800% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 31 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 134 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 144 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 361 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
