What will be the US civilian labor force participation rate in December 2025?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
The labor force participation rate, the number of working-aged people either employed or actively seeking employment, has been trending down since the beginning of the 21st century and is being impacted by US immigration policy (Brookings Institution, CNBC, Investopedia - Participation Rate). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using Bureau of Labor Statistics data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database once figures for December 2025 are first released, expected in January 2026 (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the labor force participation rate in December 2024 in the US was 62.5%.
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The question closed "At least 62.0%, but less than 62.5%" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 61.0% | 0% | |
| At least 61.0%, but less than 61.5% | 1% | |
| At least 61.5%, but less than 62.0% | 6% | |
| At least 62.0%, but less than 62.5% | 49% | |
| At least 62.5%, but less than 63.0% | 43% | |
| 63.0% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 32 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 134 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 116 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 361 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
