How much in US Treasury securities will the Federal Reserve purchase on 31 December 2025 in the form of overnight repurchase agreements?
Closed Dec 31, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Financial institutions have relied on the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement (repo) operations at the end of quarters in 2025, which can indicate liquidity issues in the financial system (Investopedia - Repurchase Agreement, Yahoo [Investing.com], Federal Reserve, Yahoo [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported for 31 December 2025 by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 30 September 2025, the Federal Reserve purchased $5.000 billion in Treasury securities in the form of overnight repurchase agreements.
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The question closed "At least $20 billion, but less than $40 billion" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $1 billion | 58% | |
| At least $1 billion, but less than $5 billion | 32% | |
| At least $5 billion, but less than $10 billion | 6% | |
| At least $10 billion, but less than $20 billion | 2% | |
| At least $20 billion, but less than $40 billion | 1% | |
| $40 billion or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 9 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 134 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 21 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 361 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
