What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 28 November 2025?

Started Nov 10, 2025 09:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 28, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia - S&P 500). The question will be suspended on 27 November 2025 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 3 November 2025, the closing value was 6,851.97.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least 6,750, but less than 6,900" with a closing date of 28 November 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5,700 0%
At least 5,700, but less than 5,850 0%
At least 5,850, but less than 6,000 1%
At least 6,000, but less than 6,150 1%
At least 6,150, but less than 6,300 1%
At least 6,300, but less than 6,450 1%
At least 6,450, but less than 6,600 5%
At least 6,600, but less than 6,750 22%
At least 6,750, but less than 6,900 56%
At least 6,900, but less than 7,050 11%
At least 7,050, but less than 7,200 2%
At least 7,200, but less than 7,350 0%
At least 7,350, but less than 7,500 0%
7,500 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 156
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 80
Number of Forecasts 386
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 142
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.067576
2.
-0.059617
4.
-0.053653

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username