When will Market-Wide Circuit Breakers (MWCB) be triggered and halt trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)?

Started Nov 07, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 06, 2026 08:01AM UTC

As enthusiasm over artificial intelligence investment drives up stock prices and concentrates value in a few stocks, there are concerns for a major market correction or even a crash (Guardian, Yahoo [24/7 Wall St.]). The NYSE has procedures in place to halt trading if the value of the S&P 500 Index falls by certain percentages in a given trading day, with the first threshold being 7% and the last threshold being 20% (NYSE - MWCB FAQ, Investor.gov). The triggering will only count if trading is actually halted, though the duration of the halt in trading is immaterial. MWCBs were last triggered in March 2020 amid the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic (Investopedia - Circuit Breaker).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Before 8 March 2026 29.00% 0% 0%
Between 8 March 2026 and 7 July 2026 2.60% 0% 0%
Between 8 July 2026 and 6 November 2026 3.00% 0% 0%
Not before 7 November 2026 65.40% 0% 0%

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