Helmut_K asks:

When will Samir Shah either publicly announce his intention to resign or retire as chairman of the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) or cease to be the chairman of the BBC?

Started Nov 10, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

The BBC has faced a firestorm of criticism over its selective editing of a speech by President Trump on 6 January 2021, which has already seen the resignation of BBC Director-General Tim Davie and news chief Deborah Turness (ABC News, BBC, CNN, BBC - Samir Shah). An official announcement from BBC on Shah's behalf will count, but an announcement merely stating that he will resign at some point in the future without either giving a specific date or tying his resignation to a specific future event will not count.

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The question closed "Not before 1 January 2026" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 18 November 2025 0%
Between 18 November 2025 and 2 December 2025 0%
Between 3 December 2025 and 31 December 2025 1%
Not before 1 January 2026 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 25
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 110
Number of Forecasts 74
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 255
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.036306
2.
-0.030312
3.
-0.030281
4.
-0.024715
5.
-0.016705

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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