Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 December 2026?

Started Dec 05, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has been consistently sending military aircraft into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) with growing numbers of aircraft, though not its national airspace (Taipei Times, Atlantic Council, Guardian). For the purposes of this question, "territorial waters" means the sea within 12 nautical miles of the shore of the main island of Taiwan. Military drones (including cruise missiles) will count, but balloons and ballistic missiles will not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 33.89% -16.11%
No 66.11% +16.11%

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