At close of business on 28 April 2026, will the most recently announced Bank of Japan (BOJ) "uncollateralized overnight call [interest] rate" be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 19 March 2026?

Started Dec 19, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 28, 2026 07:01AM UTC

As of the launch of this question, the BOJ's April 2026 monetary policy meeting is scheduled for 27-28 April 2026, and its most recently announced uncollateralized overnight call rate was "around 0.75 percent" (Bank of Japan - Statement of Monetary Policy 19 December 2025, Bank of Japan - Monetary Policy Meeting Schedule, see links under "Date of MPM"). If the BOJ announces a range, the question will close using the midpoint of the stated range (e.g., an announced range of 0.5% and 0.6% would close based on 0.55%). Qualified statements on the interest rate (e.g., "around 0.25%") will count as though the statement were unqualified (i.e., "around 0.25%" will be treated simply as "0.25%"). The date the change will take effect is immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Lower 33.33% 0%
Same 33.33% 0%
Higher 33.33% 0%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username