Before 10 October 2026, will a California state or US federal court issue declaratory and/or injunctive relief preventing California from enforcing any part of its Transparency in Frontier Artificial Intelligence Act (TFAIA)?

Started Dec 26, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 10, 2026 07:01AM UTC

In September 2025, California Governor Gavin Newsom signed the TFAIA, which he described as "the first-in-the-nation frontier AI safety legislation that builds public trust as this emerging technology rapidly evolves" (Governor of California, White & Case). On 11 December 2025, President Trump signed an executive order to, among other things, form an "AI Litigation Task Force...whose sole responsibility shall be to challenge State AI laws" in a push to create a "national policy framework for AI" (White House - Executive Order #14365, AP). A preliminary or permanent injunction (including a temporary restraining order) preventing enforcement will count, as will a declaratory judgment that any provision of TFAIA is illegal, unconstitutional, or preempted by federal law (Cornell - Declaratory Judgment, Cornell - Injunctive Relief). A settlement between parties that would prevent the enforcement of the ban will count, and the relief must take effect to count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 30.00% -20.00%
No 70.00% +20.00%

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