Which of the following US stock market indices will perform best in the first half of 2026?
Started
Jan 02, 2026 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jun 30, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The question will be suspended on 29 June 2026 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance by dividing the closing values for 30 June 2026 by the closing values for 31 December 2025 and subtracting one, respectively.
- DJIA (Google Finance) [Closing value 31 December 2025: 48,063.29]
- NASDAQ Composite (Google Finance) [Closing value 31 December 2025: 23,241.99]
- Russell 2000 (Google Finance) [Closing value 31 December 2025: 2,481.91]
- S&P 500 (Google Finance) [Closing value 31 December 2025: 6,845.50]
In the event of a tie, the index that performed best through 29 June 2026 will be considered to have performed best, and further back from there.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) | 16.00% | -0.13% | +0.53% | +2.00% |
| NASDAQ Composite | 26.00% | 0% | -3.13% | -6.00% |
| Russell 2000 | 39.00% | 0% | +4.87% | +8.00% |
| S&P 500 | 19.00% | +0.13% | -2.27% | -4.00% |