How many new electric vehicles (EVs) will be sold in the US in 2026, according to Kelley Blue Book?
Started
Feb 06, 2026 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
EV sales in the US are expected to face headwinds as federal subsidies ended in 2025 (CNBC, Cox Automotive). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2026 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Kelley Blue Book (KBB), a subsidiary of Cox Automotive, expected in January 2027. In 2025, KBB reported that 1,275,714 EVs were sold in the US (KBB - Q4 2025 Electric Vehicle Sales Report, see "Total (Estimates)" on page 2). The "ELECTRIC VEHICLE (BRAND)" table will be used for resolution.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 750,000 | 1.50% | -0.17% |
| At least 750,000, but fewer than 875,000 | 3.60% | -0.40% |
| At least 875,000, but fewer than 1,000,000 | 10.50% | -0.61% |
| At least 1,000,000, but fewer than 1,125,000 | 30.00% | +1.67% |
| At least 1,125,000, but fewer than 1,250,000 | 27.80% | +1.91% |
| At least 1,250,000, but fewer than 1,375,000 | 19.80% | -1.64% |
| At least 1,375,000, but fewer than 1,500,000 | 5.00% | -0.56% |
| 1,500,000 or more | 1.80% | -0.20% |