Russia has continued to make incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast, including in and around Pokrovsk (Center for Strategic & International Studies, ISW - Russian Campaign Assessment 29 January 2026). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW's) interactive map of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (ISW). The address is "Vulytsya Svobody, 81, Pokrovsk, Donets'ka oblast, Ukraine, 85302", to which you can zoom on the interactive map by clicking the search button on the upper left of the screen and entering the address. The site as displayed by ISW will control the resolution. "Assessed Russian Advances in Ukraine," "Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours," and "Assessed Russian Control" will count, but "Claimed Russian Territory in Ukraine" and "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas" will not count. "Reported Ukrainian Partisan Warfare" is immaterial (see legend within the map field). If the named source changes the way it presents the data, further instructions will be provided. Whether the building is damaged or destroyed is immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.