What will be the net change in China's coal-fired power capacity (Gigawatts, or GW) in 2026 as compared to 2025, according to Global Energy Monitor (GEM)?
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
While China has greatly increased its renewable energy generation capacity, the country is still expanding its coal-fired power capacity (AP). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2026 and the outcome determined using data as reported by GEM once data for all of 2026 are first reported (GEM). On the dashboard page, change "Select a Country/Area or Region" to "China," see the "How much coal capacity has been added and retired?" chart, and hover your cursor over the black line to reveal "Net change" data. In the event of ambiguity due to rounding on the chart, downloaded data will be used for resolution. As of the launch of this question, the net change for China in 2025 as compared to 2024 was an increase of 69.91 GW.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| An increase of less than 25 GW or a decrease | 23.38% | +3.38% |
| An increase of at least 25 GW, but less than 40 GW | 21.00% | +11.00% |
| An increase of at least 40 GW, but less than 55 GW | 19.13% | -9.12% |
| An increase of at least 55 GW, but less than 70 GW | 24.75% | -10.75% |
| An increase of at least 70 GW, but less than 85 GW | 8.25% | +2.75% |
| An increase of at least 85 GW, but less than 100 GW | 2.50% | +2.00% |
| An increase of 100 GW or more | 1.00% | +0.75% |