HFC asks

Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution concerning the Democratic People's Republic of Korea between 7 September 2017 and 4 October 2017?

Started Sep 06, 2017 04:30PM UTC
Closed Sep 11, 2017 06:59AM UTC

The UN Security Council adopted a DPRK resolution. This question closed as "a) yes" with and end date of 11 September 2017. This question will resolve as "yes" if the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) adopts a resolution during the period of interest in which the country/region of interest appears in the short description in the Security Council Resolution table and/or is mentioned within the adopted resolution itself.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 80.00%
No 20.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 70
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.03755
2.
-0.0131
3.
-0.0095
4.
-0.00725
5.
-0.00725

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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