HFC asks

Before 29 December 2017, will it be announced that Chinese troops are deploying to the disputed border region between Eritrea and Djibouti?

Started Sep 13, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2017 07:59AM UTC

As aggression escalates in the Djibouti-Eritrea conflict over the Dumeria Mountain and Island, China has offered to assist in mediation or peacekeeping if requested (Ventures Africa, Yahoo! News, South China Morning Post, News.com). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. It was not announced that Chinese troops are deploying to the disputed border region between Eritrea and Djibouti. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Question clarification
Issued on 10/17/17 07:33pm
Deployment of Chinese troops as part of a multinational force would count.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 345
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 748
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.003
2.
-0.003
3.
-0.003
4.
-0.003
5.
-0.003

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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