Before 1 January 2018, will Venezuela hold gubernatorial elections?
Started
Sep 19, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 15, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 15, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Delayed gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held in October (Miami Herald, NPR, Telesur). In 2012, the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) won 20 of the 23 governorships. Opposition parties have decided to participate in the elections but face obstacles (The Christian Science Monitor, Reuters).
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Venezuela held gubernatorial elections on 15 October 2017 and PSUV won 17 governorships (BBC, Reuters) This question closed as “Yes, and the PSUV will between 15 and 20 governorships, inclusive,” with an end date of 15 October.
Venezuela held gubernatorial elections on 15 October 2017 and PSUV won 17 governorships (BBC, Reuters) This question closed as “Yes, and the PSUV will between 15 and 20 governorships, inclusive,” with an end date of 15 October.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and the PSUV will win more than 20 governorships | 7% | |
| Yes, and the PSUV will win between 15 and 20 governorships, inclusive | 42% | |
| Yes, and the PSUV will win more than 10 but less than 15 governorships | 39% | |
| Yes, and the PSUV will win 10 or fewer governorships | 9% | |
| No | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 205 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 145 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 582 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
