HFC asks
Between 18 October and 28 December 2017, will any World War II Soviet monuments be taken down in Poland?
Started
Oct 18, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 16, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 16, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
Poland's president has approved amendments to a law that bans the promotion of communism, including World War II era memorials dedicated to Soviet troops (Radio Free Europe, The Star). Russia has threatened to retaliate against Poland if they remove any of these monuments (BBC, Reuters). If a World War II Soviet monument is taken down (e.g. BBC) the question will close as yes regardless of who takes it down.
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Poland began dismantling of the Monument of Gratitude (Wyborcza.pl, Niezalezna). This question closed as “a) Yes,” with and end date of 16 November, 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Poland began dismantling of the Monument of Gratitude (Wyborcza.pl, Niezalezna). This question closed as “a) Yes,” with and end date of 16 November, 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 50.50% | |
No | 49.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 144 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 334 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |