HFC asks

Will Mahmoud Abbas visit Gaza before 1 January 2018?

Started Nov 08, 2017 05:30PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

On 12 October 2017, Hamas and Fatah signed a unity agreement which outlined terms for Hamas to transfer control of Gaza to the Palestinian Authority (CNN, NY Times). Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Rami Hamdallah made a visit to Gaza in advance of the deal (Aljazeera). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Mahmoud Abbas did not visit Gaza. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 193
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 411
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.013
2.
-0.013
3.
-0.011
4.
-0.011
5.
-0.01

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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