HFC asks
Will Great Britain announce a second referendum on Brexit by 31 December 2017?
Started
Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Challenges
Some CEO's and Government officials have begun to call for a second referendum on Brexit (Spiegel, Financial Times, The Guardian, Daily Express, The Telegraph). Question will resolve as "yes" if a credible media outlet (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters) reports that an official decision to hold a second referendum has been made.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 241 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 357 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
