HFC asks
Will Great Britain announce a second referendum on Brexit by 31 December 2017?
Started
Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Challenges
Some CEO's and Government officials have begun to call for a second referendum on Brexit (Spiegel, Financial Times, The Guardian, Daily Express, The Telegraph). Question will resolve as "yes" if a credible media outlet (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters) reports that an official decision to hold a second referendum has been made.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 241 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 357 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 583 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |