Started Nov 17, 2015 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 15, 2016 06:59AM UTC

Will the expanded Panama Canal open to shipping before 15 May 2016?

The $5 billion expansion will double the capacity of the Panama Canal, allowing much larger ships to transit between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans (The World in 2016, Atlantic). Expansion is scheduled to be completed in the spring of 2016, but leaks on the Pacific side of the canal may delay the project (Hellenic Shipping News, Fortune). Recommended Questions Will Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff resign or be impeached before 1 April 2016? Will Russia conduct a naval exercise in the Western Hemisphere with a Central or South American country before 1 July 2016?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 718
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 1850
Average for questions older than 6 months: 678
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.029
2.
-0.027
3.
-0.026
4.
-0.025
5.
-0.024

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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