HFC asks

What will be the daily closing price of gold on 15 December 2017 in USD?

Started Dec 06, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using the last daily London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Gold Price USD (PM) for the date of interest. The relevant data is available by selecting 'Table' and referring to the 'PM' column under 'USD.' Question will be suspended on the day before the date of interest and resolved the day after the date of interest. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

Answer is 1254.60 per resolution instructions.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1235 0%
Between $1235 and $1270, inclusive 100%
More than $1270 but less than $1295 0%
Between $1295 and $1325, inclusive 0%
More than $1325 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 83
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 232
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.033536
2.
-0.033536
3.
-0.026108
4.
-0.025497
5.
-0.025414

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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