HFC asks

What will be the daily closing price of gold on 19 December 2017 in USD?

Started Dec 13, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 19, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using the last daily London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Gold Price USD (PM) for the date of interest. The relevant data is available by selecting 'Table' and referring to the 'PM' column under 'USD.' Question will be suspended on the day before the date of interest and resolved the day after the date of interest. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

Answer is 1260.35 per resolution instructions website.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,225 0%
Between $1,225 and $1,250, inclusive 1%
More than $1,250 but less than $1,275 94%
Between $1,275 and $1,300, inclusive 5%
More than $1,300 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 66
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 159
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.04
2.
-0.033
3.
-0.031
4.
-0.031
5.
-0.03

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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