Will President Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un meet before 1 July 2018?

Started Mar 21, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC

President Trump has accepted a preliminary invitation for a face-to-face meeting with Kim Jong Un, but a neither a date nor a location for the meeting has been set (BBC, NBC News, The Washington Post, NY Times). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
President Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un met in Singapore. This question closed as "Yes, somewhere not listed above" with an end date of 11 June 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, in North Korea (excluding the DMZ) 0%
Yes, in South Korea (excluding the DMZ) 0%
Yes, in the Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) 0%
Yes, in the United States 0%
Yes, in China 0%
Yes, in Russia 0%
Yes, in Mongolia 0%
Yes, in Switzerland 0%
Yes, in Sweden 0%
Yes, in international waters 0%
Yes, somewhere not listed above 100%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 360
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1714
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.066
2.
-1.05
3.
-1.003
4.
-0.983
5.
-0.808

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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