Started Feb 02, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 30, 2016 09:00PM UTC

Will the government of Colombia and the FARC sign a final peace agreement before 1 May 2016?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 543
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 1582
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.25
2.
-0.25
3.
-0.232
4.
-0.229
5.
-0.216

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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