Question 9 of 25 in Coronavirus Outbreak
Started Mar 24, 2020 11:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jun 25, 2020 06:59AM UTC

For how many countries and territories in the African Region will the World Health Organization (WHO) report a transmission classification of "Local transmission" in its Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) situation report for 25 June 2020?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

Transmission classification is based on WHO analysis of available official data and may be subject to reclassification as additional data become available. Countries/territories/areas experiencing multiple types of transmission are classified in the highest category for which there is evidence; they may be removed from a given category if interruption of transmission can be demonstrated (WHO). As of 24 March 2020, WHO assigned a "Local transmission" classification to 10 countries and territories among the region's 39 countries and territories with reported cases (WHO 24 March Situation Report). If WHO does not publish a situation report for 25 June 2020, the outcome will be determined using the most recently available situation report.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

Name Probability
Less than 10 0%
Between 10 and 16, inclusive 0%
More than 16 but less than 24 0%
Between 24 and 30, inclusive 5%
More than 30 95%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In