Started Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC

WestfallJenny, robinr, and Ryan-Beck ask:

Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation curtailing or eliminating qualified immunity for public officials become law?

Qualified immunity, a legal doctrine by which public officials are shielded from being sued in federal court unless they violate clearly established law, is facing greater scrutiny in the aftermath of the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis (ABA Journal, NPR, Legal Information Institute). Legislation that would curtail or eliminate qualified immunity has been recently introduced in Congress (Congress.gov, BBC). The date the law would take effect is immaterial.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Correct Answer

No

Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

305

Forecast
Count

498

Crowd Brier Score

0.0003


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001