iforbes asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of the People's Republic of China and those of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and/or Vietnam before 1 April 2021?
Closed Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Over the years, China has used various forces to project power toward its neighbors in and around the South China Sea (CNN, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Council on Foreign Relations, Diplomat). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 486 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1145 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
