When will the EU amend its Own Resources Decision to help finance the EU's proposed COVID-19 recovery package?

Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

As part of the COVID-19 recovery plan called the "Next Generation EU" (NGEU), an amendment of the Own Resources Decision has been proposed (European Council, European Parliament, European Commission). An amendment of the Own Resources Decision requires approval by all Member States in accordance with their constitutional requirements (Ernst & Young, European Commission). The question would resolve upon the last Member State approving the amendment. When the amended Own Resources Decision would take effect is immaterial.

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The question closed "Not before 1 April 2021" with a closing date of 1 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 October 2020 0%
Between 1 October 2020 and 31 December 2020 0%
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021 0%
Not before 1 April 2021 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 85
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 355
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.471
2.
-0.379
3.
-0.325
4.
-0.304
5.
-0.291

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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